Kyle Kondik

a photo of voting booths

More Ohioans have requested early absentee ballots for this midterm election than the last one in 2014. But Ohio is behind other states that are seeing record early turnout levels. And there’s a lot of speculation about whether that shows a “red tide” is building again in Ohio, or whether the state will be part of the nationally-predicted “blue wave.”


With one week to go until Election Day, many races are too close to call.

Predicting what voters might do this midterm is part of the job for an Ohioan now based in Washington who is managing editor for the weekly political newsletter Sabato’s Crystal Ball produced by the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics.

Kyle Kondik is also communications director for the Center.  

photo of Rich Cordray and Mike DeWine

We are now four weeks away from Election Day where Ohioans will make several big decisions, such as who will be the next governor and whether drug crime sentencing will be reformed through Issue 1.

Kyle Kondik photo

Overall, Ohio voters stuck with the center of their political parties yesterdayin picking their statewide and congressional candidates. But the centers of Democratic and Republican politics remain well separated. We spoke with Kyle Kondik, author of “The Bellwether: Why Ohio Picks the President,” about what the primary election revealed and what it portends for the fall. 

A photo composite of Ohio gubernatioral candidates Mary Taylor (left) and Mike DeWine (right.)

Tomorrow’s primary results will determine the people who will represent the major political parties in this fall’s races for governor, Congress, the state Legislature and for the Republicans – U.S. Senate. But they could also hint at developments later this year.




The Republicans