News
News Home
Quick Bites
Exploradio
News Archive
News Channel
Special Features
NPR
nowplaying
On AirNewsClassical
Loading...
  
School Closings
WKSU Support
Funding for WKSU is made possible in part through support from the following businesses and organizations.

Hennes Paynter Communications

Area Agency on Aging 10B, Inc.

Northeast Ohio Medical University


For more information on how your company or organization can support WKSU, download the WKSU Media Kit.

(WKSU Media Kit PDF icon )


Donate Your Vehicle to WKSU

Programs Schedule Make A Pledge Member BenefitsFAQ/HelpContact Us
Government and Politics




New poll shows good news for Obama, Brown
Latest Quinnipiac University Poll shows President Obama leading Republican Challenger Mitt Romney 50 to 44 percent in Ohio
by WKSU's STATEHOUSE CORRESPONDENT JO INGLES
This story is part of a special series.


Reporter
Jo Ingles
 
In The Region:
The latest Quinnipiac University Poll shows President Obama leading Republican Challenger Mitt Romney 50 to 44 percent in Ohio. This marks the first time this year that the President has hit the 50 percent mark. And in an interview with Ohio Public Radio's Jo Ingles, Political Science Professor John Green explains why that's important.
New poll shows good news for Obama, Brown

Other options:
Windows Media / MP3 Download (3:48)


Green: Incumbents have a very hard time getting elected if they’re numbers are below 50 percent. So a lot of analysts believe the 50 percent mark is a key bellweather for how well incumbents do whether it’s a president or senator or so forth. Assuming these numbers are affirmed, this is good news for the Obama campaign because they’ve reached, at least for the moment, that threshold which increases the likelihood of winning.

Ingles: We are starting see some movement by independents in this poll. Some are going for President Obama. Some are going for Romney. Is that indicative of where they’ll be in the fall or does that mean anything at all at this point?

Green: Well you know early in the campaign you have more undecided people among independents. Those numbers tend to go down as you get into the fall and closer to Election Day. So it wouldn’t be that surprising that, at this point, given the vast amount of advertising and campaigning in Ohio that the independents would begin that process of picking their candidates. Some will go Republican, others will go to Democratic candidate. But it’s always possible they will change their minds along the way. As people start to make up their minds, new information might influence them but this is not that surprising that the Independents are beginning to shift to one party or another.

Ingles: Is a 6 percent lead at this point telling of things to come?

Green: It’s very difficult to predict election results based on polls at this point because so much can happen in politics between the early polls and the actual Election Day. So I think the 6 percent lead that the Quinnipiac Poll has is significant. It probably shows that President Obama has a bit of an advantage in Ohio. But based on past elections, you could predict the final result from this because it wouldn’t take a shift in very many voters for Governor Romney to catch up or for President Obama to get even farther ahead in the polls. This gives us a snapshot of where the race is right now but a lot will happen between now and Election Day.

Ingles: When you look at President Obama and Mitt Romney as far as people talking about whether they’ve heard enough to form an opinion on them….in the case of Mitt Romney, 15 percent of voters say they haven’t heard enough to form an opinion of him. In the case of President Obama, 2 percent say they haven’t heard enough. Does that surprise you and is that a number we should be looking at?

Green: Well compared to many elections, those numbers are low. A lot of people think they know a lot about these candidates….enough for them to be able to make a decision. Now some of those people who think they have enough information may not have made their decisions yet. They may be weighing different types of information in favor of one candidate or another. I guess it’s not surprising that more people feel they need additional information about Mitt Romney. He’s not as well known. President Obama is of course the president of the United States and he was elected once so people are likely to know more about him. This gives you an idea how the race is. You’ve got basically one sixth of the voters who say they don’t have enough information about the challenger to make a decision about him. That suggests that there is some room for those poll numbers to change one way or another.

John Green, the Director of the Bliss Institute at the University of Akron, says polls must be taken over time to get a real sense of voter's opinions.
Add Your Comment
Name:

Location:

E-mail: (not published, only used to contact you about your comment)


Comments:




 
Page Options

Print this page

E-Mail this page / Send mp3

Share on Facebook





Stories with Recent Comments

Ohio to appeal ruling keeping Akron's red light cameras in place
I don't understand what all the fuss is about. If you don't like tickets drive the speed limit and stop at red lights. It's really all up to you.

Who's on public assistance in Ohio?
legalize marijuana get over it,,, its here its been the main drug test scare of a lifetime. u got people that get drunk every night and work u got peoples on ...

Letters from a lost friend: A Beachwood survivor's Holocaust remembrance
What a great story -- and how important it was for both Marlene and her mother to tell it! Thank you.

Ohio lawmaker calls for an East Cleveland bailout
Instead of blaming Kasich and the Republicans for all of East Cleveland's fiscal woes, take a look at the facts. Some political entities in Ohio are too small ...

Legalized marijuana is a boon for a Cleveland-area grow light maker
Shouldn't he be in jail for paraphernalia? He knows he is selling for marijuana production.

Akron city council to vote on resolution for hiring ex-offenders
Great as a taxpayer I paid for the police to catch them, the free lawyer, the jail to house them , the food their kids eat the medical for them and all its goin...

5 of 8 rule headed for a vote
this is just another way for kasich to pass the buck and claim that it gives the local districts control. Few schools have enough money because of his cuts. T...

A passionate debate about parole in Ohio
I was heartened to hear that the legislators will consider ANY legislation to break the chains the parole board has put on these old law offenders who have serv...

Bill would allow Ohio religious leaders to refuse to do gay marriages
This is just a lot of political posturing. The free exercise clause of the 1st Amendment already protects clergy from being forced by civil authorities to perfo...

Copyright © 2015 WKSU Public Radio, All Rights Reserved.

 
In Partnership With:

NPR PRI Kent State University

listen in windows media format listen in realplayer format Car Talk Hosts: Tom & Ray Magliozzi Fresh Air Host: Terry Gross A Service of Kent State University 89.7 WKSU | NPR.Classical.Other smart stuff. NPR Senior Correspondent: Noah Adams Living on Earth Host: Steve Curwood 89.7 WKSU | NPR.Classical.Other smart stuff. A Service of Kent State University