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Government and Politics




Quinnipiac poll shows Ohio voters are back where they were in August
Early voting women are the source of many Obama votes
by WKSU's M.L. SCHULTZE
This story is part of a special series.


Web Editor
M.L. Schultze
 

Tens of millions of dollars worth of presidential campaign ads later -- Ohio voters are back where they were in August. WKSU’s M.L. Schultze reports that they’re leaning toward President Obama but not overwhelmingly so, and that both campaigns have it right when they say they need women.

SCHULTZE how the Quinnipiac number break

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The Quinnipiac Poll is different from some others in that it’s been studying the swing state of Ohio for years, not months, days, even instants.

And it’s newest poll shows 50 percent of the likely voters in Ohio plan to vote for President Obama over the next two weeks, while 45 percent plan to vote for Gov. Mitt Romney.

Mr. Obama’s edge is down from 10 points a month ago, but about where they were in the first and again in the third week of  August.

The president owes his edge voters with incomes up to $50,000 a year, those younger than 55, and perhaps most of all to women.   The poll shows 55 percent of women are going to Mr. Obama, 40 percent for Mr. Romney.

And the margin is even more dramatic among those who already have cast their ballots. Nearly 6 of every 10 women who already have voted went for the president.

The poll was released Monday, before last night’s debate.

It also measured how Ohio’s Sen. Sherrod Brown is doing against his challenger, state Treasurer Josh  Mandel. Brown’s lead is 9 percentage points. 

1. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Obama or Romney? (Table includes leaners and early voters)
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Obama                50%     6%    93%    42%    44%    55%    44%    91%
Romney               45     93      5     49     51     40     51      5
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      -      2      1      1      1      -
DK/NA                 3      2      2      7      3      3      3      4
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Obama                43%    45%    40%    39%    39%    49%    29%    47%
Romney               54     49     56     56     56     46     67     49
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      2      -      1      1      1      -      1
DK/NA                 3      4      4      3      3      4      4      3
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Obama                47%    52%    60%    52%    49%    45%    59%    51%    48%
Romney               49     43     34     43     49     53     34     45     48
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      1      2      1      1      4      1      -
DK/NA                 3      4      5      4      2      1      4      3      4
 
TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Obama or Romney? (Table includes leaners and early voters)
                     LIKELY VOTERS.................
                     Oct 22  Sep 26  Aug 23  Aug 01
                     2012    2012    2012    2012
 
Obama                50      53      50      50
Romney               45      43      44      44
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1       1       2       1
DK/NA                 3       3       4       4
 
 
1a. (If candidate chosen q1) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......
                     CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q1
                     Tot    Obama  Romney
 
Mind made up         95%    95%    95%
Might change          4      5      4
DK/NA                 -      -      -
 
TREND: (If candidate chosen q1) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.................
                     CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q1...........
                     Oct 22  Sep 26  Aug 23  Aug 01
                     2012    2012    2012    2012
 
Mind made up         95      92      88      87
Might change          4       7      11      12
DK/NA                 -       1       1       1
 
 
1b. (If already voted) In the election for president, did you vote for Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
                     LIKELY VOTERS....
                     ALREADY VOTED....
                     Tot    Men    Wom
 
Obama                54%    48%    59%
Romney               39     44     35
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      -
DK/NA                 6      6      5
 
 
2. Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            46%    92%     8%    50%    53%    40%    52%    10%
Unfavorable          48      6     87     42     42     53     43     82
Hvn't hrd enough      4      1      4      5      4      4      3      6
REFUSED               2      -      1      3      1      2      2      1
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            56%    49%    57%    56%    57%    47%    66%    50%
Unfavorable          41     45     38     37     38     48     28     45
Hvn't hrd enough      3      4      2      6      4      3      4      3
REFUSED               1      2      2      1      1      2      2      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Favorable            51%    43%    34%    43%    50%    55%    36%    47%    48%
Unfavorable          45     49     57     49     48     41     55     48     46
Hvn't hrd enough      2      5      6      7      1      3      8      4      4
REFUSED               1      2      2      1      1      1      1      1      2
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.................
                     Oct 22  Sep 26  Aug 23  Aug 01
                     2012    2012    2012    2012
 
Favorable            46      41      39      40
Unfavorable          48      49      45      43
Hvn't hrd enough      4       8      12      15
REFUSED               2       2       3       3
 
 
3. Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            51%     8%    92%    45%    46%    56%    46%    91%
Unfavorable          45     89      6     50     50     40     50      7
Hvn't hrd enough      2      2      1      2      1      2      2      1
REFUSED               2      1      1      3      2      2      2      1
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            45%    47%    41%    42%    42%    50%    30%    48%
Unfavorable          52     49     56     54     55     46     66     48
Hvn't hrd enough      1      3      1      2      2      2      2      2
REFUSED               2      2      2      2      2      2      2      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Favorable            49%    53%    60%    54%    50%    48%    64%    51%    49%
Unfavorable          48     43     36     42     49     49     31     46     47
Hvn't hrd enough      1      2      2      3      1      1      3      2      2
REFUSED               2      2      2      1      -      2      1      1      2
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.................
                     Oct 22  Sep 26  Aug 23  Aug 01
                     2012    2012    2012    2012
 
Favorable            51      54      51      51
Unfavorable          45      43      45      45
Hvn't hrd enough      2       1       2       2
REFUSED               2       2       3       2
 
 
4. (If Obama q1) Would you describe your support for Barack Obama as strongly favoring him, or do you like him but with reservations, or do you support him because you dislike Mitt Romney?
                     LIKELY VOTERS....
                     OBAMA Q1.........
                     Tot    Men    Wom
 
Strongly favor       74%    72%    76%
Like/Reservations    19     21     18
Dislike Romney        6      7      5
DK/NA                 1      -      1
 
TREND: (If Obama voter) Would you describe your support for Barack Obama as strongly favoring him, or do you like him but with reservations, or do you support him because you dislike Mitt Romney?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........
                     OBAMA VOTER...........
                     Oct 22  Sep 26  Aug 01
                     2012    2012    2012
 
Strongly favor       74      66      60
Like/Reservations    19      25      31
Dislike Romney        6       8       9
DK/NA                 1       1       1
 
 
5. (If Romney voter) Would you describe your support for Mitt Romney as strongly favoring him, or do you like him but with reservations, or do you support him because you dislike Barack Obama?
                     LIKELY VOTERS....
                     ROMNEY Q1........
                     Tot    Men    Wom
 
Strongly favor       63%    59%    66%
Like/Reservations    27     29     25
Dislike Obama        10     11      9
DK/NA                 1      1      -
 
TREND: (If Romney voter) Would you describe your support for Mitt Romney as strongly favoring him, or do you like him but with reservations, or do you support him because you dislike Barack Obama?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........
                     ROMNEY VOTER..........
                     Oct 22  Sep 26  Aug 01
                     2012    2012    2012
 
Strongly favor       63      51      42
Like/Reservations    27      30      35
Dislike Obama        10      18      22
DK/NA                 1       1       1
 
 
6. If the election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Sherrod Brown the Democrat and Josh Mandel the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Brown or Mandel? (Table includes leaners and early voters)
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Brown                51%    11%    90%    45%    46%    56%    47%    82%
Mandel               42     83      6     46     48     36     46      7
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      1      1      1      1      1      1
DK/NA                 7      6      4      8      6      8      6     10
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Brown                47%    47%    41%    45%    43%    51%    32%    51%
Mandel               48     45     51     51     52     42     60     44
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      1      1      -      1      1      1      -
DK/NA                 4      7      7      3      5      7      8      5
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Brown                50%    52%    57%    53%    52%    47%    56%    50%    52%
Mandel               44     40     34     38     44     48     33     43     42
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      1      1      -      -      -      -      1
DK/NA                 5      8      9      7      4      4     10      7      5
 
TREND: If the election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Sherrod Brown the Democrat and Josh Mandel the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Brown or Mandel? (Table includes leaners and early voters)
                     LIKELY VOTERS.................
                     Oct 22  Sep 26  Aug 23  Aug 01
                     2012    2012    2012    2012
 
Brown                51      50      48      51
Mandel               42      40      41      39
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1       -       1       1
DK/NA                 7       9      10       9
 
 
6a. (If Senate candidate chosen q6) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......
                     CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q6
                     Tot    Brown  Mandel
 
Mind made up         89%    90%    88%
Might change         10     10     12
DK/NA                 -      -      -
 
 
6b. (If already voted) In the election for United States Senator, did you vote for Sherrod Brown the Democrat or Josh Mandel the Republican?
                     LIKELY VOTERS....
                     ALREADY VOTED....
                     Tot    Men    Wom
 
Brown                57%    51%    61%
Mandel               36     40     32
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      2
DIDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      2      3
DK/NA                 3      5      2
 
 
7. Is your opinion of Sherrod Brown favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            48%    10%    82%    43%    45%    50%    44%    76%
Unfavorable          36     69      4     41     41     30     40      8
Hvn't hrd enough     16     20     12     14     13     18     16     14
REFUSED               1      1      1      2      1      2      1      2
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            45%    43%    38%    41%    41%    46%    30%    46%
Unfavorable          41     39     45     43     45     35     51     39
Hvn't hrd enough     12     18     16     15     13     18     19     15
REFUSED               1      1      1      1      1      1      1      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Favorable            48%    47%    50%    50%    49%    46%    49%    47%    48%
Unfavorable          39     34     29     33     38     37     19     34     41
Hvn't hrd enough     12     18     20     15     12     15     31     18     10
REFUSED               1      1      1      1      -      1      1      1      2
 
 
8. Is your opinion of Josh Mandel favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            34%    69%     5%    35%    39%    30%    38%     8%
Unfavorable          42     11     68     40     39     44     40     58
Hvn't hrd enough     23     19     25     23     22     24     21     33
REFUSED               1      1      1      2      -      2      1      2
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            38%    38%    40%    42%    42%    34%    50%    35%
Unfavorable          43     38     38     35     38     42     27     42
Hvn't hrd enough     17     24     21     23     20     23     22     22
REFUSED               1      1      1      1      -      2      1      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Favorable            35%    34%    28%    30%    36%    41%    25%    36%    35%
Unfavorable          46     39     39     44     46     40     40     39     44
Hvn't hrd enough     18     26     32     25     17     18     34     25     19
REFUSED               1      1      1      1      1      1      -      1      2
 
 
9. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              50%     7%    92%    40%    44%    55%    44%    90%
Disapprove           47     91      6     53     53     42     53      6
DK/NA                 4      2      2      7      3      4      3      3
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Approve              43%    45%    38%    40%    39%    48%    28%    46%
Disapprove           55     51     59     56     58     48     68     50
DK/NA                 2      4      4      4      3      4      4      3
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Approve              47%    51%    57%    53%    48%    44%    60%    50%    47%
Disapprove           50     45     39     43     50     54     37     47     49
DK/NA                 3      4      4      4      2      2      3      3      4
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.................
                     Oct 22  Sep 26  Aug 23  Aug 01
                     2012    2012    2012    2012
 
Approve              50      50      49      48
Disapprove           47      47      48      48
DK/NA                 4       3       2       3
 
 
10. Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of enthusiasm about voting in this year's presidential election; are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as usual?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
More                 41%    52%    40%    35%    42%    41%    41%    44%
Less                 12      8      9     18     11     13     13      6
About the same       46     38     51     46     46     46     46     50
DK/NA                 1      1      -      -      1      -      1      -
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
More                 39%    42%    42%    43%    43%    39%    47%    40%
Less                 12     13     13     13     11     14     14     12
About the same       48     45     44     44     45     47     39     47
DK/NA                 1      1      1      -      1      -      1      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
More                 38%    43%    40%    40%    42%    43%    36%    36%    46%
Less                 13     12     13     10     13     12      9     14     12
About the same       48     45     46     50     45     45     54     50     42
DK/NA                 1      -      1      -      -      -      1      -      1
 
TREND: Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of enthusiasm about voting in this year's presidential election; are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as usual?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.................
                     Oct 22  Sep 26  Aug 23  Aug 01
                     2012    2012    2012    2012
 
More                 41      35      33      32
Less                 12      17      22      21
About the same       46      48      44      47
DK/NA                 1       1       1       -
 
 
11. (If already voted) Did you vote early by mail or absentee ballot, or did you vote at an early voting location?
                     LIKELY VOTERS....
                     ALREADY VOTED....
                     Tot    Men    Wom
 
Mail/Absentee        75%    69%    79%
Early voting loc     25     30     21
DK/NA                 -      1      -
 
 
12. Do you think the nation's economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Better               37%     6%    70%    30%    37%    38%    34%    63%
Worse                36     68      6     41     38     35     40      5
The same             25     25     23     27     25     25     25     28
DK/NA                 1      1      1      2      1      2      1      4
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Better               35%    34%    29%    31%    34%    34%    19%    37%
Worse                40     40     44     42     40     40     54     37
The same             24     26     26     26     26     25     27     26
DK/NA                 1      1      1      1      -      1      1      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Better               39%    37%    38%    39%    38%    40%    46%    38%    35%
Worse                37     35     32     34     36     39     23     34     40
The same             23     26     28     26     26     21     28     26     23
DK/NA                 1      1      2      1      -      1      2      1      1
 
TREND: Do you think the nation's economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same?
                     LIKELY VOTERS
                     Oct 22  Aug 01
                     2012    2012
 
Better               37      26
Worse                36      39
The same             25      34
DK/NA                 1       1
 
 
13. Do you think Ohio's economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Better               46%    30%    65%    42%    50%    43%    44%    62%
Worse                22     35      8     26     20     24     24     10
The same             30     33     25     31     29     31     31     26
DK/NA                 1      2      2      1      1      2      1      2
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Better               49%    41%    39%    46%    50%    39%    32%    47%
Worse                21     25     26     22     20     27     33     21
The same             28     33     33     30     30     32     34     30
DK/NA                 2      1      2      2      1      2      1      2
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Better               52%    43%    39%    46%    51%    52%    42%    45%    48%
Worse                20     24     22     22     21     22     23     24     21
The same             26     32     37     31     27     26     34     29     29
DK/NA                 2      1      2      1      1      -      1      1      2
 
TREND: Do you think Ohio's economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same?
                     LIKELY VOTERS
                     Oct 22  Aug 01
                     2012    2012
 
Better               46      33
Worse                22      26
The same             30      40
DK/NA                 1       1
 
 
14. Would you say that Barack Obama cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Yes                  60%    26%    94%    55%    58%    63%    56%    93%
No                   37     71      5     42     39     35     41      6
DK/NA                 3      3      1      3      3      2      3      -
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  59%    54%    50%    54%    54%    57%    40%    60%
No                   38     43     47     43     42     40     57     37
DK/NA                 3      3      4      3      4      2      3      3
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Yes                  62%    59%    66%    61%    59%    61%    76%    63%    55%
No                   35     38     31     36     38     39     23     35     41
DK/NA                 3      3      3      3      3      1      1      3      4
 
TREND: Would you say that Barack Obama cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.................
                     Oct 22  Sep 26  Aug 23  Aug 01
                     2012    2012    2012    2012
 
Yes                  60      59      59      55
No                   37      38      39      43
DK/NA                 3       3       3       2
 
 
15. Would you say that Mitt Romney cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Yes                  45%    88%    11%    46%    51%    39%    50%    10%
No                   50      9     86     47     44     56     45     86
DK/NA                 5      3      3      7      5      5      5      4
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  55%    47%    55%    52%    54%    45%    63%    48%
No                   41     48     40     43     40     50     33     46
DK/NA                 5      5      5      5      6      4      4      6
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Yes                  51%    41%    34%    41%    47%    55%    38%    45%    46%
No                   45     54     62     53     47     42     60     50     48
DK/NA                 5      5      3      6      6      4      2      5      6
 
TREND: Would you say that Mitt Romney cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.................
                     Oct 22  Sep 26  Aug 23  Aug 01
                     2012    2012    2012    2012
 
Yes                  45      38      41      38
No                   50      57      53      55
DK/NA                 5       5       6       7
 
 
16. Would you say that Barack Obama has strong leadership qualities or not?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Yes                  58%    19%    93%    54%    54%    62%    53%    94%
No                   40     80      6     45     45     37     46      5
DK/NA                 1      1      1      2      2      1      1      1
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  52%    53%    46%    52%    49%    56%    38%    56%
No                   47     45     53     47     49     43     61     43
DK/NA                 1      1      1      1      1      1      1      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Yes                  57%    59%    63%    62%    57%    55%    79%    59%    53%
No                   42     39     35     37     43     45     20     41     46
DK/NA                 1      1      2      1      -      -      1      -      2
 
 
17. Would you say that Mitt Romney has strong leadership qualities or not?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Yes                  64%    94%    36%    67%    69%    59%    69%    31%
No                   32      4     59     26     26     36     27     62
DK/NA                 5      2      5      7      5      5      4      7
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  75%    65%    70%    72%    73%    64%    75%    67%
No                   21     31     26     25     23     31     22     27
DK/NA                 4      4      4      4      4      5      2      5
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Yes                  71%    59%    48%    62%    70%    78%    58%    65%    64%
No                   25     36     45     33     27     20     37     30     31
DK/NA                 4      5      7      5      3      2      4      5      5
 
 
18. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on - the economy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Obama                48%     5%    89%    40%    42%    54%    42%    89%
Romney               48     94      7     53     55     41     53      9
DK/NA                 4      1      4      7      3      5      5      2
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Obama                39%    44%    38%    37%    37%    47%    28%    43%
Romney               57     51     58     59     60     47     70     50
DK/NA                 3      5      4      4      4      6      2      6
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Obama                44%    51%    59%    52%    45%    41%    60%    49%    45%
Romney               53     45     35     45     51     56     37     47     50
DK/NA                 4      5      5      3      4      3      4      4      5
 
TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.................
                     Oct 22  Sep 26  Aug 23  Aug 01
                     2012    2012    2012    2012
 
Obama                48      51      47      46
Romney               48      45      47      45
DK/NA                 4       3       6       8
 
 
19. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on - foreign policy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Obama                50%    10%    90%    42%    46%    54%    45%    89%
Romney               43     87      6     48     49     38     48      7
DK/NA                 7      3      5     10      5      8      6      4
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Obama                44%    46%    40%    40%    42%    48%    30%    47%
Romney               50     47     53     55     53     44     65     47
DK/NA                 6      7      6      5      4      8      5      6
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Obama                48%    51%    58%    53%    48%    45%    63%    48%    48%
Romney               46     42     34     41     46     48     30     44     46
DK/NA                 6      7      8      6      5      6      7      7      6
 
TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on foreign policy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........
                     Oct 22  Sep 26  Aug 23
                     2012    2012    2012
 
Obama                50      54      50
Romney               43      41      40
DK/NA                 7       6      10
 
 
20. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on - taxes, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Obama                51%     9%    90%    44%    46%    55%    45%    89%
Romney               43     88      5     47     50     38     48      7
DK/NA                 6      4      5      8      4      8      6      4
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Obama                43%    47%    41%    42%    42%    49%    32%    47%
Romney               51     47     52     54     54     43     62     46
DK/NA                 5      6      7      4      4      8      5      7
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Obama                47%    53%    60%    53%    50%    44%    66%    52%    47%
Romney               47     41     33     41     45     52     31     43     46
DK/NA                 6      6      7      7      5      4      3      5      7
 
TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on taxes, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........
                     Oct 22  Sep 26  Aug 23
                     2012    2012    2012
 
Obama                51      53      51
Romney               43      43      41
DK/NA                 6       4       8
 
 
21. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on - the budget deficit, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Obama                43%     4%    83%    33%    36%    49%    37%    85%
Romney               51     95     11     59     59     44     58      9
DK/NA                 6      1      6      9      5      7      6      5
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Obama                33%    39%    33%    31%    31%    42%    26%    37%
Romney               62     55     61     65     65     51     70     57
DK/NA                 5      6      6      4      4      7      5      6
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Obama                37%    46%    53%    45%    42%    32%    47%    44%    41%
Romney               57     48     39     48     55     63     50     50     53
DK/NA                 6      6      8      6      3      5      3      6      6
 
TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the budget deficit, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........
                     Oct 22  Sep 26  Aug 23
                     2012    2012    2012
 
Obama                43      45      40
Romney               51      49      50
DK/NA                 6       6       9
 
 
22. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on - helping the middle class, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Obama                54%    10%    94%    49%    49%    59%    49%    92%
Romney               41     86      4     44     47     36     47      5
DK/NA                 4      4      2      7      4      5      4      3
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Obama                46%    51%    44%    44%    44%    53%    36%    50%
Romney               51     44     52     51     52     42     61     46
DK/NA                 4      5      4      5      4      5      3      4
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Obama                50%    57%    65%    57%    51%    49%    68%    54%    51%
Romney               46     38     31     38     47     46     30     41     45
DK/NA                 4      5      4      5      2      5      2      5      5
 
 
23. Which candidate do you think did the best job, or won, the second presidential debate Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Obama                48%    11%    81%    43%    46%    49%    43%    82%
Romney               27     57      4     29     31     25     31      2
TIE(VOL)             12     19      4     13     13     10     13      3
DIDN'T WATCH(VOL)    11     11      9     11      8     13     11     12
DK/NA                 3      2      2      4      1      4      3      1
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Obama                42%    43%    38%    38%    42%    44%    29%    45%
Romney               31     32     34     33     34     29     41     29
TIE(VOL)             15     11     14     15     14     11     16     11
DIDN'T WATCH(VOL)    10     11     11     10      8     12     10     11
DK/NA                 3      3      3      3      1      4      3      3
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Obama                46%    49%    51%    50%    48%    47%    58%    50%    44%
Romney               28     27     24     25     28     29     24     26     29
TIE(VOL)             13     10      9     11     11     15      3      9     15
DIDN'T WATCH(VOL)    10     11     13     11     10      6     15     12      9
DK/NA                 3      2      2      3      2      2      -      3      3
 
 
24. Did you watch or listen to the second presidential debate between Barack Obama and Mitt Romney or not?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Yes                  84%    85%    84%    85%    87%    82%    85%    81%
No                   15     14     15     15     13     18     15     18
DK/NA                 -      -      -      -      -      -      -      1
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  86%    84%    85%    86%    88%    82%    85%    85%
No                   14     16     15     14     12     17     14     15
DK/NA                 -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Yes                  87%    83%    80%    82%    86%    92%    81%    83%    86%
No                   13     17     19     18     14      8     19     17     14
DK/NA                 -      -      1      1      -      -      -      1      -
 
 
25. Did the second presidential debate make you more likely to vote for Barack Obama, more likely to vote for Mitt Romney, or did it have no effect on your vote choice?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Obama                19%     2%    36%    14%    15%    22%    15%    41%
Romney               14     28      2     14     14     13     15      3
No effect            63     66     58     65     67     59     65     49
LESS LIKELY/
 NEITHER(VOL)         -      -      -      1      1      -      1      -
ALREADY VOTED(VOL)    1      1      -      1      1      1      1      -
DK/NA                 4      3      3      5      3      5      3      6
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Obama                13%    16%    13%    14%    11%    18%    15%    13%
Romney               15     15     17     19     15     15     20     15
No effect            68     63     65     63     69     61     60     67
LESS LIKELY/
 NEITHER(VOL)         -      1      1      1      1      -      1      1
ALREADY VOTED(VOL)    1      1      1      1      1      1      -      1
DK/NA                 3      4      4      3      2      4      3      4
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Obama                15%    21%    28%    17%    16%    13%    27%    16%    18%
Romney               14     13     13     14     12     14      8     11     16
No effect            67     61     52     64     67     71     59     67     61
LESS LIKELY/
 NEITHER(VOL)         -      1      1      1      -      -      2      -      -
ALREADY VOTED(VOL)    1      1      -      1      1      -      -      1      1
DK/NA                 3      4      5      3      3      2      4      5      3
 
 
26. Do you plan on watching or listening to the third presidential debate on Monday, October 22nd, or not?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Yes                  85%    88%    83%    86%    86%    84%    85%    84%
No                   11     10     11     11     11     12     11     10
DK/NA                 4      2      6      3      3      5      3      6
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  83%    87%    85%    87%    86%    85%    88%    84%
No                   14     10     11     10     11     12     11     12
DK/NA                 3      3      4      3      3      4      1      4
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Yes                  83%    86%    85%    81%    85%    88%    89%    84%    84%
No                   13     10      9     16     11      9      8     13     11
DK/NA                 3      4      6      3      3      3      3      3      4
 
 
27. Who do you think will win the third presidential debate, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Obama                40%     7%    73%    32%    36%    43%    35%    75%
Romney               31     65      4     33     35     28     34      6
TIE (VOL)             3      4      1      4      4      3      3      1
DK/NA                26     25     21     32     26     27     27     17
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Obama                30%    38%    31%    33%    32%    37%    24%    37%
Romney               35     34     37     40     38     32     47     32
TIE (VOL)             5      3      4      5      4      3      3      5
DK/NA                30     26     29     23     26     28     26     26
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Obama                34%    43%    48%    44%    37%    33%    54%    38%    37%
Romney               32     30     25     30     35     33     28     32     31
TIE (VOL)             5      2      2      3      3      6      1      4      3
DK/NA                30     24     26     23     26     28     17     26     29
 

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