News
News Home
Quick Bites
Exploradio
News Archive
News Channel
Special Features
NPR
nowplaying
On AirNewsClassical
Loading...
  
School Closings
WKSU Support
Funding for WKSU is made possible in part through support from the following businesses and organizations.

The Holden Arboretum

NOCHE


For more information on how your company or organization can support WKSU, download the WKSU Media Kit.

(WKSU Media Kit PDF icon )


Donate Your Vehicle to WKSU

Programs Schedule Make A Pledge Member BenefitsFAQ/HelpContact Us
Government and Politics




Political consultants dish out predictions, advice
A Democrat and a Republican talk campaigning and Ohio's role in national politics at the Akron Press Club
by WKSU's MARK URYCKI
This story is part of a special series.


Senior Reporter
Mark Urycki
 
Download (WKSU Only)
In The Region:

Two veteran political consultants say the presidential race is going to be close in Ohio. And Democrat Gerald Austin and Republican Mark Weaver told an audience of the Akron Press Club today that the U.S. senator’s race is Sherrod Brown’s to lose.

But he could still lose it.

WKSU’s Mark Urycki has more on the political guesswork.

Full audio story

Other options:
Windows Media / MP3 Download (4:24)


(Click image for larger view.)

This presidential election year is like an Olympic year for campaign consultants, because for them, politics is sport.

Democrat Gerald Austin calls it the longest running reality show, and the Republican primary battle, a “situation comedy.”

"Republicans are having one of the greatest races for those of us who like to watch this shenanigans anybody’s witnessed in a long time. You can’t make this stuff up. I don’t know how else to say it.”  

Austin is hoping for a brokered convention, just for its entertainment value. But Republican Mark Weaver points out that exactly four years ago, Democrats seemed in disarray after Barack Obama beat Hillary Clinton in the South Carolina primary.

 “Hillary and Barack Obama went on to fight each other tooth-and-nail until June of 2008," Weaver said. "But that Democratic Party cared so much about taking back the White House that they got behind the candidate, not withstanding very hard feelings on the part of Clinton supporters.”
 
Countered Austin, "As Mark said, Hillary and Barack Obama went at each other for a lot of months. I don’t remember the vitriol being like this. To suggest that this type of infighting is not going to have some kind of effect in the long run is probably not true.”   

Third party spoiler?
The two consultants disagree on whether a third-party candidate will emerge this year.

Weaver says Republican Ron Paul likely won’t be able to try it because Ohio and several other states have so-called sore-loser laws that forbid losing candidates from running the same year under as independents or under a different party.

But Austin predicts former Louisiana Gov. Buddy Roemer will run for the web-based group Americans Elect, which is trying to get on the ballot in all 50 states.  

Weaver is working for the Romney campaign in Ohio but he was asked to give advice to Barack Obama. He says the Democrat will have to convince people that he has made the country better.  

“He’s saying things are better and people are saying -- you saw the [poll] numbers -- ‘No they’re not.’ That creates what people who study the human brain call cognitive dissonance.”

And Democrat Austin offered advice to Mitt Romney: Listen.

 “'You don’t listen to anybody; you think you’re the smartest person that walks in every single room. … I don’t think the Mitt Romney you have seen up to now can win this election. If Mark was there every day with him and he listened to him he’d win the election. It ain’t gonna happen.”     

The U.S. Senate race in Ohio
In the U.S. Senate race in Ohio, polls give incumbent Sherrod Brown a 15-point lead over Republican challenger and state Treasurer Josh Mandel. Austin says Brown will win, unless Mr. Obama loses Ohio big.   Weaver agrees that it’s Brown’s race to lose, but says anti-incumbent fever and big campaign money for Mandel could fuel an upset. 

Weaver says appealing to voters’ emotion can be huge for any candidate. Austin adds so can a simple slip-up.

“Campaigns are like life. It’s a series of mistakes.   Whoever makes the least mistakes is happy and whoever makes the least mistakes wins. There’s a lot of mistakes could be made in this campaign .”  

Coming to your Facebook page
One way to get around candidate mistakes is to reach voters directly, in their homes. Mark Weaver expects Facebook will be the platform that campaigns increasingly use.

“I did a statewide ballot issue not too long ago where we were able to connect directly with voters in their Facebook pages by simply scanning what they said about themselves when they set up their profile ... and making sure our ad appeared on those pages of people we knew were supporters of ours. Getting them to like our page and accept our updates. We never licked a stamp; we (never) printed a piece of mail;we never sent an email that had to get through a spam filter. It all happened on Facebook. “

Mark Weaver and Gerald Austin agree that the choice for the Republican nominee will still be up in the air when Ohio holds its March 6th primary, and that the state will once again be important in November.

Add Your Comment
Name:

Location:

E-mail: (not published, only used to contact you about your comment)


Comments:




 
Page Options

Print this page

E-Mail this page / Send mp3

Share on Facebook





Stories with Recent Comments

Gov. Kasich talks presidential ambitions, Common Core on Fox News Sunday
Forget common core. Are kids are failing. Teachers don't know it. Waste of steps! Waste of money and time!! Please stop common core!! Everything was fine till t...

School children in Bath produce a seed-to-table garlic feast
Super article. What a great idea to educate in sustainable farming! Garlic is so healthy as well. My Grandson Sam Mathews is in grade 4, and he looks like he ...

There's no off-season for the Cleveland International Film Festival
I would like to see "The Murders of Brandywine Theater" filmed by local Larry Longstreth shown at the Cleveland International Film Festival!

Study shows raising the cigarette tax a dollar could raise $342 million
So, it takes an expert to tell us raising the tobacco tax raises the revenue for the state? Doh. By the way, any one who was going to quit smoking probably alre...

Akron's Highland Square celebrates community spirit and public art
Both Donna and her husband, Joseph are both such amazing art talents! The photos look stunning! I must get down to Angel Falls for an in-person look. I just l...

Pluto: Another off-season, another Browns quarterback conundrum
The Browns do need a draftable QB for the future. Johnny Manziel needs to go and that leaves Brian Hoyer and Connor Shaw. Free agency doesn't really have any so...

Exploradio: Improving the lives of paralyzed people
God bless you doctor. I hope to be alive the day that humans, like me, can use the results of your search...

Nature and nourishment down by the river at the Metroparks' Merwin's Wharf
I love QUICKBITES! I look forward to it every week. One question: is it possible to include a link to the restaurant or store that you profile? Thanks!

Canton's proposed Timken-McKinley school merger is drawing spirited debate
From a sports opinion Varsity would have a lot more talent to choose from So Im sure varsity sports would improve.Also Timkens name would be much more published...

Canton school board will decide whether to merge high schools
I really hope we can save those jobs, usually we try to cut budgets but the demand is still the same. Then we look bad a year or two after the descion is made. ...

Copyright © 2015 WKSU Public Radio, All Rights Reserved.

 
In Partnership With:

NPR PRI Kent State University

listen in windows media format listen in realplayer format Car Talk Hosts: Tom & Ray Magliozzi Fresh Air Host: Terry Gross A Service of Kent State University 89.7 WKSU | NPR.Classical.Other smart stuff. NPR Senior Correspondent: Noah Adams Living on Earth Host: Steve Curwood 89.7 WKSU | NPR.Classical.Other smart stuff. A Service of Kent State University